Zambia
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Zambia, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 64M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 52M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 47M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 64M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 46M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 45.0M | — |
| UN 2012 | 44.2M | 124M |
| WIC 2013 | 29.9M | 42.2M |
| UN 2015 | 43.0M | — |
| UN 2017 | 41.0M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 37.1M | 53.5M |
| UN 2019 | 39.1M | 81.5M |
| IHME 2020 | 35.9M | 47.3M |
| UN 2022 | 37.5M | 63.6M |
| WIC 2023 | 34.9M | 46.0M |
| Census 2025 | 35.2M | 51.7M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 38.1M | 64.5M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Zambia are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 2.08, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.69, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 2.02, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.68, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 2.61 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 2.64 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 2.21 | 1.69 |
| UN 2022 | 2.86 | 2.02 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.44 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.18 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.81 | 2.08 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Zambia are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.