Latin America and the Caribbean
Latest estimates · UN 2024
Latin America and the Caribbean, as the UN Population Division groups countries (location code 904).
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Workshop: Measuring the Generational Economy: National Inclusion Accounts for Inclusive Policymaking
AI summaryThis is a program announcement for a UN-organized workshop (co-hosted by UNDESA, ECLAC, and ESCAP) on Measuring the Generational Economy, presenting National Inclusion Accounts as a new extension of the National Transfer Accounts framework. The event showcases results from a Development Account pilot project in eight countries across Latin America/Caribbean (Colombia, Costa Rica, Jamaica, Uruguay) and Asia/Pacific (Lao PDR, Malaysia, Maldives, Viet Nam), covering topics like population ageing, inequality, unpaid care work, and intergenerational support to inform inclusive fiscal and social policymaking. The agenda includes country presentations, regional policy panels with perspectives from Africa, Asia, Europe, and Latin America, and discussions on applying these accounting frameworks for long-term policy design.
Abstract
Monday, 26 October 2026 - 9:00am Overview The meeting on Measuring the Generational Economy: National Inclusion Accounts for Inclusive Policymaking is co-organized by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, and the Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific. It builds on a Development Account project supporting the implementation of National Inclusion Accounts in eight pilot countries across two regions: Colombia, Costa Rica, Jamaica and Uruguay in Latin America and the Caribbean; and Lao PDR, Malaysia, Maldives and Viet Nam in Asia and the Pacific. These countries represent diverse stages of the demographic transition and varying levels of economic development, offering a rich basis for comparative learning and policy dialogue. Through their work, the pilot countries demonstrate the potential of National Inclusion Accounts to generate policy-relevant evidence on inequality, intergenerational support and the distribution of resources across population groups. The meeting will provide a platform to present country results, exchange experiences, and discuss how National Transfer Accounts and its extensions can be used to support fiscal planning, social protection, inclusive growth and long-term policymaking. The objective of the meeting is to introduce National Inclusion Accounts as a new extension of the National Transfer Accounts (NTA) framework and to showcase results from eight pilot countries supported under the Development Account project, a collaboration of DESA, ECLAC and ESCAP. The meeting will provide a strategic overview of NTA and its related extensions — National Time Transfer Accounts and National Inclusion Accounts — as decision-support tools for fiscal planning, social protection, inclusive growth and long-term policymaking. It will highlight how these frameworks generate evidence on the respective roles of governments, families and markets in supporting individuals across the life course. The meeting will also provide an opportunity for policymakers and partners to share policy applications of National Transfer Accounts and its extensions, including how these tools can inform responses to population ageing, inequality, unpaid care work, intergenerational support, and the design of more inclusive and sustainable policies. Document Concept note Organization of work Monday, 26 October 2026 Morning session — Chair: DESA (Cheryl Sawyer, Chief, Population Trends And Analysis Branch, UNDESA Population Division) 9.00 – 9.20 a.m. Welcome Remarks United Nations: Lin Yang, Deputy Executive Secretary, ESCAP China National Committee on Ageing: Madam Lv Xiaoli, Vice Commissioner, CNCA HelpAge International: Eduardo Klein, Regional Director, HelpAge 9.20 – 10.15 a.m. Population Ageing: Global, Regional and Country Responses Nicole Mun Sim Lai, Population Affairs Officer, UNDESA Population Division. Global population ageing: the role of DESA Sabine Henning, Chief, Sustainable Demographic Transition Section, ESCAP. Population ageing in Asia and the Pacific: the role of ESCAP ECLAC. Population ageing in Latin America and the Caribbean: the role of ECLAC China National Committee on Ageing. Responding to population ageing in China: policies, progress and future outlook Q & A 10:15 – 10:25 a.m. Group Photo 10:25 – 10:45 a.m Coffee Break 10:45 a.m. – 12:00 p.m. National Inclusion Accounts in Latin America and the Caribbean Moderator: Raul Holz, Senior Researcher, ECLAC Colombia Costa Rica Jamaica Uruguay Q & A 12:00 – 13:30 p.m. Lunch Break Afternoon session: Chair: ESCAP 13:30 – 15:15 p.m. Policy Panel Discussion: Population Ageing — NTA, NTTA and NTA-I Moderator: Nicole Mun Sim Lai, Population Affairs Officer, UNDESA Africa perspective: Senior country representatives from Africa Asia perspective: Eduardo Klein, Regional Director, HelpAge; Professor Sang-Hyop Lee, University of Hawaii at Manoa Europe perspective: Agnieszka Chłoń-Domińczak, President, Government Population Council (GPC), Poland Latin America and the Caribbean perspective: Two senior representatives from Latin America and the Caribbean Q & A (Discussant: Professor Long, Viet Nam) 15:15 – 15:35 p.m. Coffee Break 15:35 – 16:50 p.m. National Inclusion Accounts in Asia and the Pacific Moderators: Marco Roncarati, Social Affairs Officer, ESCAP; Napaphat Satchanawakul, Social Affairs Officer, ESCAP China: Professor Shen Ke, Fudan University Lao PDR Maldives Viet Nam Q & A 16:50 – 17:00 p.m. Closing Remarks & Next Steps Cheryl Sawyer, UNDESA
The Demographic Decline of the Lobizón in a Low-Fertility World
AI summaryThis playful paper applies demographic methods to the South American folklore figure of the lobizón—the cursed seventh son who turns into a wolf—using official fertility data to estimate how declining birth rates have reduced the probability of lobizón births across regions and countries. The authors estimate recent annual lobizón births and project future trends, using this whimsical case to comment on real-world implications of fertility decline and the case for stronger family policies.
Abstract
AbstractOver the past half-century, declining fertility rates have reshaped family structures worldwide, leading to unforeseen demographic consequences—among them, the dramatic decline of the lobizón, the legendary seventh son of South American folklore, cursed to turn into a wolf when a Friday meets the full moon. Using official data to examine fertility trends, we analyze the differential decline in the probability of lobizón occurrences across regions and countries, highlighting how varying fertility transitions have shaped their demographic fate. We estimate the annual number of lobizon births emerging in recent years and project their future trajectory, offering a rare quantitative glimpse into the dwindling ranks of these supernatural beings. Finally, the paper discusses the broader implications of fertility decline for the sustainability of folklore, questioning whether policymakers should support stronger family policies—not only to avoid the lowest-low fertility, but also to preserve the richness of supernatural biodiversity. RésuméAu cours du dernier demi-siècle, la baisse des taux de fécondité a profondément transformé les structures familiales à travers le monde, entraînant des conséquences démographiques imprévues – parmi lesquelles le déclin spectaculaire du lobizón, ce septième fils légendaire du folklore sud-américain, condamné à se transformer en loup lorsque le vendredi coïncide avec la pleine lune. À partir de données officielles sur les tendances de la fécondité, nous analysons la diminution différenciée de la probabilité d’apparition des lobizones selon les régions et les pays, montrant comment les transitions démographiques ont façonné leur destin. Nous estimons lenombre annuel de naissances de lobizones ces dernières années et projetons leur trajectoire future, offrant ainsi un rare aperçu quantitatif du déclin de ces êtres surnaturels. Enfin, l’article interroge les implications plus larges de la baisse de la fécondité pour la pérennité du folklore, et questionne la nécessité pour les décideurs politiques de soutenir des politiques familiales renforcées – non seulement pour éviter les taux de fécondité extrêmement bas, mais aussi pour préserver la richesse de la biodiversité surnaturelle.