Botswana
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Botswana, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 3.8M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 4.5M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 3.1M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 4.2M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 3.3M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 2.50M | — |
| UN 2012 | 2.78M | 3.03M |
| WIC 2013 | 2.49M | 2.36M |
| UN 2015 | 3.39M | — |
| UN 2017 | 3.42M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 3.13M | 2.85M |
| UN 2019 | 3.51M | 4.17M |
| IHME 2020 | 3.27M | 3.09M |
| UN 2022 | 3.68M | 4.18M |
| WIC 2023 | 3.52M | 3.33M |
| Census 2025 | 3.40M | 4.53M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 3.44M | 3.84M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Botswana are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.78, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 2.01, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.61, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.78, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.62, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.72 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.73 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.67 | 1.61 |
| UN 2022 | 2.08 | 1.78 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.72 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.19 | 2.01 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.08 | 1.78 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Botswana are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.