Norway
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Norway, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 5.4M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 6.9M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 7.5M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 7.2M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 6.6M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 6.06M | — |
| UN 2012 | 6.56M | 7.61M |
| WIC 2013 | 6.92M | 8.58M |
| UN 2015 | 6.66M | — |
| UN 2017 | 6.80M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 6.39M | 7.99M |
| UN 2019 | 6.60M | 7.95M |
| IHME 2020 | 6.72M | 7.47M |
| UN 2022 | 6.37M | 7.22M |
| WIC 2023 | 6.10M | 6.64M |
| Census 2025 | 6.22M | 6.90M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 5.90M | 5.41M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Norway are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.55, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.67, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.64, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.75, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.99 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.98 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| UN 2022 | 1.61 | 1.64 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.86 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.50 | 1.55 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Norway are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.