Codex Populi
Country · NOR

Norway

5.5M
Population · 2023 · UN 2024
1.11%
Growth rate · 2023 · UN 2024
1.40
Fertility rate · 2023 · UN 2024
83.3 yrs
Life expectancy · 2023 · UN 2024

News

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Research

Papersocarxiv8/31/2026

Changes in homeownership and entry into parenthood in the Nordic countries

AI summaryThis study examines whether declining homeownership among young adults contributed to falling first-birth rates in Nordic countries since 2010, using register data and event history/decomposition methods. Findings show homeownership declined in Denmark and Finland but not Sweden or Norway, and while compositional shifts in housing tenure partly explain fertility declines in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden, the drop in parenthood occurred across all tenure groups, indicating broader behavioral changes, with renters experiencing a steeper decline than homeowners.

Abstract

Since 2010, fertility levels have declined unexpectedly in all Nordic countries, with record lows being reached in recent years. The reasons for these declines are unclear, except that fewer people are becoming parents. The aim of this study was to investigate whether changes in housing tenure played a role in the declined entry into parenthood. We expected that changes in housing tenure, particularly a decline in homeownership related to housing affordability challenges among young adults, may have contributed to this decline. Using harmonized Nordic individual-level register data, we assessed to what extent changes in housing tenure, changes in fertility behavior within tenure groups, or both, contributed to the decline. Discrete-time event history models and multivariate decomposition were applied. According to our results, homeownership among young adults declined in the 2010s in Denmark and Finland – but not in Sweden or Norway. The decline in first births was only partially attributable to compositional change in housing tenure along with other socioeconomic factors in Denmark, Finland and Sweden. Entry into parenthood declined among women, regardless of their tenure status, in all four countries during the 2010s, suggesting the importance of behavioral changes. However, the decline was more pronounced among renters than homeowners.

Papercrossref-demography8/4/2026

The Influence of Societal Changes on the Contribution of Genetics to Fertility Behavior

AI summaryThis study examines how major societal changes in Norway since the 1950s have influenced the heritability of fertility behaviors, specifically age at first birth and number of children, revealing that these effects vary by gender and outcome. While a theory attributing increased heritability to weakened norms and broader opportunities is found insufficient, results partially support the idea that genetic influence grows during periods of societal transition, particularly related to the rise of dual-earner families and family policy changes. The findings underscore the need to account for societal structures and gender differences when studying genetic contributions to fertility.

Abstract

Highlights The heritability of fertility behavior altered during the profound societal changes that occurred from the 1950s onward in Norway. Societal changes modify the heritability of age at first birth and number of children, and the change in heritability varies by gender and outcome. A theoretical explanation that suggests norms weakened and opportunities broadened across the latter part of the twentieth century and into the early twenty-first century, thereby increasing heritability, falls short. Results provide some support for the hypothesis that the importance of genes increases during periods of societal change, when linked to the transition to dualearner families and family policy implementation. The study highlights the importance of considering societal structures and gender differences when investigating genetic influences on fertility behavior.

Papercrossref-pdr5/28/2026

Changing Landscapes of Parenthood: Childbearing Among Same‐Sex and Different‐Sex Couples in the Nordic Countries

AI summaryThis study uses harmonized register data from Denmark, Sweden, Norway, and Finland to examine trends in childbearing among female same-sex couples compared to different-sex couples following legal union, and how this varies by education and income. The findings show a sharp rise in childbearing among female same-sex couples, nearing parity with different-sex couples in Denmark, Sweden, and Norway by around 2010, while Finland showed a later and slower increase; higher education, but not income, was linked to greater likelihood of having a child. The authors attribute these shifts to legal changes and increasingly supportive cultural and normative environments that have made same-sex parenthood more attainable in the Nordic region.

Abstract

Abstract The Nordic countries of Denmark, Sweden, Norway, and Finland were among the first countries to acknowledge same‐sex couples’ partnership and parenthood rights in their legislation. We explore trends over time in the share of female same‐sex and different‐sex couples that have children following their legal union and variation by socioeconomic status. Using harmonized register data, we assess couples’ likelihood of having a child over time, with a focus on education and income. We find strong increases in female couples’ likelihood of having a child, resulting in a sharply increasing prevalence, approaching near parity with different‐sex couples in Denmark, Sweden, and Norway around 2010. Finland diverges from the other countries in terms of its later and less steep increase. Higher education is associated with a higher likelihood of having a child, whereas we find a less clear gradient by income level. The results suggest that legal changes, together with more supportive wider cultural and normative societal environments, have made same‐sex parenthood more achievable in the Nordic countries. These changes are concurrent with the observed increase in parenthood. Following this increase, female couples today are nearly as likely as different‐sex couples to have children within a legal union.

Papercrossref-population-studies5/26/2026

Social parenting and childlessness in Norway: Associations by sex and economic uncertainty

AI summaryThis study uses Norwegian register data on the 1980 birth cohort to examine how social parenting—living with a partner's biological child without being the child's biological parent—relates to childlessness by age 42, employing sequence analysis to identify five partnership trajectory clusters. Findings show that individuals in social-parenting clusters, especially those with unstable, complex histories and later partnership entry, are more likely to remain childless. Men in these clusters face higher childlessness than comparable women, and economic insecurity further increases childlessness risk, particularly for men.

Abstract

This study examines whether social parenting-living with a child's biological parent but not being biologically related to the child-is linked to remaining childless among men and women in Norway. It offers a novel overview of the complexity of partnership histories that include social parenting and whether different types of such histories are associated with childlessness. Using Norwegian register data for the 1980 birth cohort, we reconstruct annual partnership histories from ages 25 to 41 and identify five trajectory clusters with sequence analysis. We then estimate linear probability models of being childless at age 42 and assess differences by sex and economic uncertainty, as measured by unstable employment and insecure income history. Individuals in social-parenting clusters experience a higher probability of childlessness, especially those with complex, less stable histories and later partnership entry. Men in social-parenting clusters show higher childlessness than comparable women, and economic insecurity further elevates childlessness, particularly among men.

Papercrossref-pdr5/22/2026

Health Influences on Second‐ and Third‐Birth Probabilities in Norway

AI summaryThis study uses data from the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study (MoBa) and linked registers to examine how various maternal and child health factors relate to the probability and timing of having a second or third child. Findings show that chronic health problems before or during pregnancy, temporary pregnancy-related complications, adverse birth experiences, poor postnatal physical health, and postnatal depression are generally linked to reduced probabilities of subsequent births, while chronic health problems in the most recently born child show fewer consistent associations, except for reduced fertility among mothers whose child had colic or slept little. The authors discuss possible explanations and implications of these health–fertility associations.

Abstract

Abstract We examined how several health variables were associated with mothers’ probability of having a second or third child and the timing of the second birth. Data from the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study (MoBa) and linked registers were used. Parents with certain potentially chronic health problems before or in pregnancy were less likely than others to have an additional (especially a second) child, net of differences in relationship status, education, and economic resources. Some pregnancy‐related and largely temporary health problems during the most recent previous pregnancy and adverse birth experiences were associated with reduced probabilities of a second or third birth, or both, as was generally poor physical health six months after birth and postnatal depression. The latter health indicators may reflect health implications of pregnancy, delivery, and having a relatively “demanding” young child, as well as underlying health problems. Only a few estimates suggested associations between indicators of potentially chronic health problems of the most recently born child and subsequent fertility, but fertility was reduced among one‐child mothers whose first child had colic and among one‐ and two‐child mothers whose most recently born child slept little. Possible reasons for and implications of these health–fertility associations are discussed.