Portugal
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Portugal, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 8.8M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 7.9M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 4.5M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 6.9M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 8.6M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 9.38M | — |
| UN 2012 | 9.84M | 7.46M |
| WIC 2013 | 11.7M | 11.2M |
| UN 2015 | 9.22M | — |
| UN 2017 | 8.99M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 8.81M | 7.31M |
| UN 2019 | 9.08M | 6.98M |
| IHME 2020 | 8.73M | 4.50M |
| UN 2022 | 9.26M | 6.89M |
| WIC 2023 | 9.66M | 8.60M |
| Census 2025 | 9.73M | 7.87M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 9.77M | 8.75M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Portugal are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.61, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.26, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.56, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.59, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.70 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.69 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| UN 2022 | 1.47 | 1.56 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.61 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.57 | 1.61 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Portugal are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.