South Korea
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for South Korea, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 22M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 20M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 27M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 24M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 27M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 47.0M | — |
| UN 2012 | 51.0M | 40.5M |
| WIC 2013 | 46.4M | 30.2M |
| UN 2015 | 50.6M | — |
| UN 2017 | 50.5M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 48.3M | 33.0M |
| UN 2019 | 46.8M | 29.5M |
| IHME 2020 | 50.0M | 26.8M |
| UN 2022 | 45.8M | 24.1M |
| WIC 2023 | 46.4M | 27.4M |
| Census 2025 | 45.7M | 20.0M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 45.1M | 21.8M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for South Korea are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.30, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 0.68, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.24, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.43, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.47, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.40 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.41 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| UN 2022 | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.39 | — |
| Census 2025 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.03 | 1.30 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for South Korea are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.