Sweden
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Sweden, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 11M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 12M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 13M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 13M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 13M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 10.9M | — |
| UN 2012 | 11.9M | 14.5M |
| WIC 2013 | 12.4M | 15.3M |
| UN 2015 | 11.9M | — |
| UN 2017 | 11.6M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 11.8M | 15.1M |
| UN 2019 | 11.4M | 13.0M |
| IHME 2020 | 11.9M | 13.1M |
| UN 2022 | 11.9M | 13.2M |
| WIC 2023 | 11.7M | 13.3M |
| Census 2025 | 11.8M | 12.3M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 11.3M | 11.4M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Sweden are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.58, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.69, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.72, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.70, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.75, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.99 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.99 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.82 | 1.72 |
| UN 2022 | 1.69 | 1.70 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.86 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.69 | 1.69 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.52 | 1.58 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Sweden are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.