Africa
Latest estimates · UN 2024
Africa, as the UN Population Division groups countries (location code 903).
Population projection
UN · release 2026.10.1 · codexpopuli.org
Licences: UN — CC BY 3.0 IGO
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Africa, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
3 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 3.81B, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 3.92B, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 3.55B, projected).
UN · WIC · release 2026.10.1 · codexpopuli.org
Licences: UN — CC BY 3.0 IGO · WIC — Custom (IIASA/WIC, unconfirmed)
WIC 2013: Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (WIC), Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 1.0, 2013.
WIC 2018: Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (WIC), Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 2.0, 2018.
WIC 2023: Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (WIC), Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 3.0 (Beta), 2023.
WIC data shown with attribution for display only; not licensed for redistribution.
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 2.19B | — |
| UN 2012 | 2.39B | 4.18B |
| WIC 2013 | 2.02B | 2.62B |
| UN 2015 | 2.48B | — |
| UN 2017 | 2.53B | — |
| WIC 2018 | 2.25B | 2.92B |
| UN 2019 | 2.49B | 4.28B |
| UN 2022 | 2.49B | 3.92B |
| WIC 2023 | 2.43B | 3.55B |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.47B | 3.81B |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Africa are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
3 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 2.02, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.99, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.71, projected).
UN · WIC · release 2026.10.1 · codexpopuli.org
Licences: UN — CC BY 3.0 IGO · WIC — Custom (IIASA/WIC, unconfirmed)
WIC 2013: Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (WIC), Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 1.0, 2013.
WIC 2018: Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (WIC), Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 2.0, 2018.
WIC 2023: Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (WIC), Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer Version 3.0 (Beta), 2023.
WIC data shown with attribution for display only; not licensed for redistribution.
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 2.43 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 2.40 | — |
| UN 2022 | 2.87 | 1.99 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.75 | — |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.79 | 2.02 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Africa are not listed. UN revisions from 1998 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.