Codex Populi
Country · EST

Estonia

1.4M
Population · 2023 · UN 2024
0.00%
Growth rate · 2023 · UN 2024
1.35
Fertility rate · 2023 · UN 2024
79.2 yrs
Life expectancy · 2023 · UN 2024

Population projection

Estonia195019802010204020702100600k800k1M1.2M1.4M1.6Mpeople
UN · release 2026.08.5

What forecasters project

Each forecaster’s central projection for Estonia, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.

Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions

UN 2024Census 2025IHME 2020UN 2022WIC 2023200020202040206020802100800k900k1M1.1M1.2M1.3M1.4Mpeople

5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 825.5k, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 768.9k, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 822.8k, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 835.7k, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 1M, projected).

UN · Census · IHME · WIC · release 2026.08.5
Estonia population, projected 2050 and 2100, by revision
Revision 20502100
UN 20101.23M—
UN 20121.12M959k
WIC 20131.21M1.03M
UN 20151.13M—
UN 20171.14M—
WIC 20181.23M1.24M
UN 20191.16M838k
IHME 20201.16M823k
UN 20221.17M836k
WIC 20231.21M1.04M
Census 20251.18M769k
UN 2024 (current)1.17M826k

Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Estonia are not listed.

Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions

UN 2024Census 2025IHME 2020UN 2022WIC 2023replacement2000202020402060208021001.401.601.802.00

5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.57, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.40, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.48, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.68, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.71, projected).

UN · Census · IHME · WIC · release 2026.08.5
Estonia total fertility rate, projected 2050 and 2100, by revision
Revision 20502100
WIC 20131.71—
WIC 20181.69—
IHME 20201.601.48
UN 20221.671.68
WIC 20231.70—
Census 20251.411.40
UN 2024 (current)1.511.57

Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Estonia are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).

Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.